![]() ![]() With lagging intervals of 1, 5, 10 and 15, there is a short-term causal relationship between the variable GDP and consumption. Intervals 1, 15 and 20 have no long-term causality relationship between GDP variables and consumption variables. concluded that long-term causality test results between GDP variables and significant consumption with time intervals 5 and 10. So it can be summarized in the context of GDP and coordinated short-term economic consumption for all the prevailing interval lags. Using a cointegration test with lag interval 1, 5 and 10 indicates significant for all usage slowness. The variables and consumption of GDP are cointegrated in the long run significantly at lag interval 10, whereas the use of lag interval 1 and 5 is not credited in the long run. 10% of consumption will result in a short-term ARDL model change of 95% in GDP. It is not surprising that there is no short-run equilibrium relationship between GDP and consumption. The result of the research can be concluded that, there is long-run equilibrium relationship between GDP and consumption with long-term ARDL model, 10% change of consumption will produce long-term change of 44% in GDP. Tis study investigates the relationship between GDP variables and Indonesian consumption consumption variables using the test ARDL, cointegration and Granger causality. In this case, the main purpose of this research is to know the relationship between two issues related to Indonesian macro economy called consumption and GDP for data period during 1967 until 2014. More recently, significant fluctuations in the Indonesian economy justify the need to pay more attention to this issue. Lecture at STIE Tunas Nusantara, Kota Jakarta Selatan, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta 12430, IndonesiaĪRDL, cointegration, granger causality, GDP, consumption Abstract Universitas Pamulang Tangerang, Banten, Indonesia Lecture at STIE GICI Business Scholl, Depok, Jawa Barat, Indonesia Universitas Pembangunan ‘Nasional’ Veteran, Yogyakarta, Indonesia Lecture at UPN Veteran Departemen Internasional Relation. Ciledug Raya, Petukangan Utara, Pesanggrahan, JakSel, DKI Jakarta, Indonesia ![]()
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